Risk Analysis: Adaptive Reading
Text difficulty adjusts dynamically — analyze risk analysis methods.
What will you learn in this game?
Performs risk analysis. Analyzes and evaluates disaster risks.
How to use it in class?
Reserve 10–15 minutes at the end of the lesson so students can play individually or in pairs, then discuss the results together. Focus: reinforcing the learning outcome "Performs risk analysis" with real-life examples.
Reading Text
Question 1 / 3Risk analysis is the process of systematically evaluating the probability and impact of potential hazards. It guides decision-making in disaster management. **Risk Matrix:** One of the most common tools. Uses two dimensions: - **Probability:** The likelihood of the hazard occurring (low/medium/high) - **Impact:** The damage it could cause if it occurs (minor/moderate/severe) The intersection of these two dimensions gives the "risk score." High probability + severe impact = critical risk. **Qualitative vs. Quantitative Analysis:** - Qualitative: Expert opinion, observation, historical data. Fast but subjective. - Quantitative: Statistical model, simulation, numerical data. More accurate but requires resources. **Risk Analysis in Turkey:** AFAD's Turkey Disaster Risk Reduction Plan (TARAP) contains province-based risk maps. These maps show earthquake, flood, landslide, and drought risks. Risk analysis is not static — it needs to be continuously updated with climate change, urbanization, and infrastructure changes.